Duke University/CFO
Global Business Outlook Survey
Spring 2008

No individual firms are identified and only aggregate data are made public. Please respond by March 6. If you have any questions about this survey, please contact us.

1. Are you more or less optimistic about the U.S. economy compared to last quarter?
More optimistic
Less optimistic
No change
Rate your optimism about the U.S. economy on a scale from 0-100, with 0 being the least optimistic and 100 being the most optimistic.

2. Are you more or less optimistic about the financial prospects for your company compared to last quarter?
More optimistic
Less optimistic
No change
Rate your optimism about the financial prospects for your own company on a scale from 0-100, with 0 being the least optimistic and 100 being the most optimistic.

3. What are the top three external concerns your corporation faces? (rank #1, #2, #3)
   Consumer demand
   Cost of fuel
   Cost of non-fuel commodities
   Credit markets/interest rates
   Currency risk
   Devaluation of the U.S. dollar
   Environmental regulation
   Financial regulation
   Housing market fallout
   International political instability
   Upcoming change in U.S. administration
   Other:  

4. What are the three top internal, company-specific concerns your corporation faces? (rank #1, #2, #3)
   Ability to forecast results
   Auditing costs
   Cost and availability of labor in accounting/finance department
   Cost and availability of non-finance labor
   Cost of health care
   Data security
   Supply chain risk

   Other: 

5. Relative to the previous 12 months, what will be your company's PERCENTAGE CHANGE during the next 12 months? (e.g., +3%, -2%, etc.) [Leave blank if not applicable]
   Prices of your products
   Productivity (output per hour worked)
   Technology spending
   Capital spending
   Marketing/advertising spending
   Number of domestic employees overall
   Number of domestic employees in accounting/finance
   Number of foreign/off-shore outsourced employees
   Wages/Salaries
   Health care costs
   Earnings
   Order backlog
   Cash on the balance sheet
   Dividends
   Share repurchases

6a. During 2008, does your company plan to :
  Acquire another company or companies?
  Acquire part of another company or companies?
  Both
  Neither

6b. During 2008, does your company plan to:
  Sell your company?
  Sell part of your company?
  Neither

7a. Do you think the U.S. is currently in a recession?
  Yes
  No  


7b. If no, what is the probability that the U.S. economy will experience a recession during 2008?
(e.g., 0%, 50%, etc.)

                                    
% chance of a U.S. recession some time in 2008

7c. When do you expect to see the economy turn the corner and begin returning to normal growth?
  2008
  1st half 2009
  2nd half 2009
  Beyond

8. To what extent do you believe your company's foreign activity will offset potential weakness in U.S. demand for your product? (Please answer only if your company is headquartered in the U.S.)
  Not at all·
  A small amount
  A moderate amount
  A large amount
  Not applicable

9a. Has your company been affected by the cost or availability of credit?
  No
  Yes, somewhat   
  Yes, very much  
9b. If yes, in what ways has your company been affected by the credit market turmoil?
   [check all that apply]
    Decreased availability of credit
  Increased cost of credit
     If yes, How many basis points increase?   bps
  Other:   

10.The Federal Funds rate has been cut significantly in the last few months. From your perspective, what impact have these cuts had on your company?
 
  Very
Helpful
Somewhat
Helpful
No Impact Somewhat
Harmful
Very
Harmful
 
   

11. Is your company taking any actions in response to recent economic turmoil in the U.S.?
  No, we are not taking any actions in response
  Yes, we are delaying or reducing capital spending
  Yes, we are delaying or reducing hiring plans
  Yes, we are delaying or reducing M&A plans
  Yes, we are delaying or reducing share repurchases
  Yes, other action:    

 12. On February 25, 2008 the annual yield on 10-yr treasury bonds was 3.9%. Please complete the following:

a. Over the next 10 years, I expect the average annual S&P 500 return will be:


Worst Case: There is a 1-in-10
chance the actual average
return will be less than:

             %
Best Guess:
I expect the
return to be:

%
Best Case: There is a 1-in-10
chance the actual average
return will be greater than:

          %

b. During the next year, I expect the S&P 500 return will be:

Worst Case: There is a 1-in-10
chance the actual return will
be less than:

             %
Best Guess:
I expect the
return to be:

%
Best Case: There is a 1-in-10
chance the actual return will
be greater than:

          %

13a. In the last year, approximately what percentage of 401(k) participants at your company have taken loans against or made hardship withdrawals from their 401(k) accounts? (e.g., 5%, 12%)
   %

13b. Is the number of loans or withdrawals an increase, relative to 2006?
  Yes
  No

13c. To what do you attribute your employees taking loans or making hardship withdrawals?
  To make mortgage payments
  To ward off personal bankruptcy
  To cover health care costs
  To handle a family emergency
  To facilitate normal, non-emergency spending
  Other (please specify)    

14. Who is your choice for the next president of the United States?
  Hillary Clinton
  Mike Huckabee
  John McCain
  Barack Obama
  Other (please specify)    

Please check one from each category that best describes your company:

     a. Industry

       Retail/Wholesale
       Mining/Construction
       Manufacturing
       Transportation/Energy
       Communications/Media
      Tech [Software/Biotech]
      Banking/Finance/Insurance
      Service/Consulting
      Healthcare/Pharmaceutical
      Other:  
  b. Sales Revenue  c. Number of Employees
       Less than $25 million
       $25-$99 million
       $100-$499 million
       $500-$999 million
       $1-$4.9 billion
       $5-$9.9 billion
       More than $10 billion
      Fewer than 100
      100-499
      500-999
      1,000-2,499
      2,500-4,999
      5,000-9,999
      More than 10,000
  d. Headquarters   e. Ownership
       Northeast U.S.
       Mountain U.S.
       Midwest U.S.
       South Central U.S.
       South Atlantic U.S.
       Pacific U.S.
 Canada
 Central/Latin America
 Europe
 Asia
      Public, NYSE
      Public, NASDAQ/AMEX
      Private
      Government
      Nonprofit
  f. Foreign Sales   g. Your job title (e.g., CFO, Asst. Treasurer, etc)
       0%
       1-24%
       25-50%
       More than 50%

      

  h. Your age    i. What is your company's credit rating? 

    
 years

   
 
 


© Duke University, 2008